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Bitcoin becoming less-risky as an investment, Novogratz says

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Bitcoin (BTC) has gained significant notoriety in the decade since its 2009 launch. Big mainstream players such as MicroStrategy have recently begun to invest large sums of money into the asset, normalizing its viability as an investment for some. Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, said Bitcoin is now an obvious financial play.

“On a risk-adjusted basis, BTC is an easier bet today than it has ever been,” Novogratz said in an Oct. 27 tweet. “It’s being de-risked daily.”

Cointelegraph reached out to Novogratz for additional details, but received no response as of press time. This article will be updated accordingly should a response come in. 

“Adjusted by its volatility, Bitcoin has presented the best return in one or two years against all other asset classes,” Cointelegraph markets contributor Marcel Pechman said when asked to weigh in on Novogratz tweet. “Few investors expect gold to rally 60%, but it never went below -8% so the Sharpe index adjusts returns based on volatility.”

Although MicroStrategy bought more than $400 million worth of BTC in recent months, it is not the only mainstream giant to join the party. Square, headed up by Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, purchased $50 million of Bitcoin recently, publicized on Oct. 8. After disclosing his BTC holdings in May 2020, billionaire Paul Tudor Jones compared the asset to an investment in Apple before its boom. 

With its mainstream involvement, including the traditional trading products being built around it, Bitcoin is much easier to gain financial exposure to today than it once was. Though it was originally designed as an alternative form of currency, Bitcoin has gained prevalence more as a store of value and investment option in recent years.

“I don’t think Bitcoin is going to be used as a transactional currency any time in the next five years,” Novogratz said in an interview with Bloomberg TV, posted on Oct. 23. “Bitcoin is being used as a store of value,” he added. “People are worried that the central banks around the world are debasing fiat currencies.”

The U.S. government, for example, printed a massive amount of its national currency in 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic; and action that could ultimately decrease the value of the American dollar as a whole. 





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Bitcoin

Traders look for Bitcoin price daily close at $41K to confirm bullish reversal

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Bitcoin started the week with a strong breakout to $40,900, but today bulls are trying to hold Bitcoin price above the $40,000 level. 

As the price broke from the $31,000 to $39,000 range on June 14, traders speculated that setting a daily higher high and a close above $41,000 would set BTC up for a move to $47,000, but a lack of sustained buy volume and the much-discussed possibility of a death cross between the 50- and 200-day moving average are factors that could be keeping traders cautious.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

According to Simon Peters, an analyst at eToro:

“Bitcoin is at its highest level since May, a notable recovery but the crypto asset has yet to convincingly break through – and most importantly, close above – the $41,000 mark.

While sentiment has improved and futures premiums have recovered after nearly entering backwardation last week, analysts are unable to confirm that the bull trend has resumed.

Peters said:

“We’ve seen the price face resistance earlier in the year at this level when it was trading around what was then an all-time high, and I would really need to see a stronger increase to feel optimistic about the price recovering and possibly pushing onto $50,000 and beyond.”

Sentiment has improved but the market is flat

Deribit Bitcoin options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

Regarding the lack of follow-through from Bitcoin’s June 14 pump, Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman shared the above chart and said that while the 25% delta skew is no longer signaling that extreme fear exists in the market. 

Pechman said:

“Arbitrage desks and market markers are currently uncomfortable with Bitcoin’s price as the neutral-to-bearish put options premium is higher. However, the current 7% positive skew is far from the 20% exaggerated fear seen in late May.”

Even though day traders are on the fence about the status of the trend, a number of on-chain metrics, including the Hodler Net Position Change, show that investors still view the recent dip to $30,000 and Bitcoin’s current price at $40,250 as excellent purchasing opportunities.