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Grayscale Trust sees largest-ever weekly inflow, nears 500K BTC in total

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Grayscale’s Bitcoin (BTC) Trust is on track to reach 500,000 BTC by the end of 2020. 

Last week, Grayscale saw a record inflow of $215 million (15,907 BTC) that surpassed all previous investments into the Trust. The firm now holds $6.7 billion (481,711 BTC) as of the time of writing.

Should the firm continue last month’s growth-rate of 32,000 BTC, Grayscale in on track to hold 500,000 BTC (2.7% of circulating supply) within three weeks. By the end of next year, if the rate is consistent, Grayscale could control 926,600 BTC — equal to 5% of Bitcoin’s total current supply.

Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust investments 2020. Source: Grain of Salt

The Trust, created in September 2013, has seen explosive growth this year, with its assets under management (AUM) growing from $1.9 billion to $4.7 billion in the first nine months of 2020. Since Grayscale’s Q3 report, the AUM of its Bitcoin Trust has grown by an additional $2 billion.

Almost 70% of Grayscale’s total weekly inflows were invested into its Bitcoin Trust over the past three quarters. Bitcoin Trust weekly inflows grew from a 12-month average of $39.5 million to more than $55 million in Q3, 84% of which was attributed to institutional investors.

Last week, Grayscale published its second Bitcoin Investor Study in which the firm found U.S. investors that were interested in investing in BTC had grown from 36% in 2019 to 55% in 2020.

Grayscale holds vastly more Bitcoin than any other listed company (although a fund isn’t directly comparable with a company holding BTC as a reserve asset). As of Oct 13th, the remaining 12 companies combined hold approximately 150,000 BTC with notable holdings from Microstrategy (38,250 BTC), Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital (16,551 BTC), and Jack Dorsey’s Square (4,709 BTC).





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Bitcoin price bounces to $33K but analysts say ‘it’s too early’ to call a bottom

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Cryptocurrency investors found little reprieve on June 22 as the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $30,000 for the first time since January, sparking panic among less experienced market participants who have yet to experience a full market cycle. 

While Bitcoin has been under increasing pressure from multiple sources since early May, the most recent bout of selling has been largely attributed to capitulation by China-based miners who have been forced to abruptly shut down their operations.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after dropping to $28,800, Bitcoin price bounced back above the $30,000 level and currently trades for $32,600.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The strong bounce came after comments from Brian Nelson, the current nominee for Under Secretary of the Department of the Treasury’s division on terrorism and financial crimes. Nelson said he was going to make the implementation of new regulations around cryptocurrency a priority if he is confirmed.

Miner crackdown in China sparks market turmoil

The pressures put on Bitcoin and the overall cryptocurrency market was highlighted by Élie Le Rest, partner at digital asset management firm ExoAlpha. Le Rest told Cointelegraph that “Chinese market participants have been massively selling during the past month.”

Le Rest also pointed to the “Grayscale unlocking schedule leading to more selling pressure,” resulting in some panic selling by the less experienced traders in the market.

Le Rest said,

“With newcomers in the crypto market seeing their profit and capital getting wipe out by selling waves, newcomers are taking their loss as they can’t stomach this much negative volatility anymore.”

Due to these pressures, Le Rest believes that the market could range in the “lower tranches of $25,000 to $35,000” in July, with the low volume usually seen in August having the potential to “accelerate this downside trend or build the upside trend.”

The upside case for today’s move was provided by David Lifchitz, managing partner and chief investment officer of ExoAlpha, who stated that the activity seen in the market on June 22 “seems to have drawn the line in the sand for BTC at $29,000 and Ether (ETH) at $1,700, given the swift bounce.”

Related: Bad call? Bitfinex bears closed a block of Bitcoin shorts before the drop below $32K

That being said, Lifchitz warns against throwing caution to the wind as the volatile nature of the crypto market makes picking a bottom notoriously challenging.

Lifchitz said:

“However, it’s too early to tell if this is “the” bottom or just a temporary floor before more downside. The lack of any upside catalyst (besides some contrarian oversold metrics) remains the biggest hurdle for cryptos to bounce back… Paging Mr.Musk, paging Mr.Musk.”

Altcoins see double-digit losses

The altcoin market followed Bitcoin’s lead on June 22 with a majority of tokens seeing double-digit losses as traders ran for the safety of stablecoins.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

The price of Ether managed to rebound along with the price of BTC, helping erase a 15% correction and send the price back above $1,900.

Two tokens that managed to rise above the market turmoil and see positive gains for the day were Livepeer (LPT), which posted a 15% gain and Celo (CELO), which saw its price increase by 9%.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.303 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 47.1%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.