Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin mining revenue hits yearly high, after return to pre-halving levels

Published

on



Key on-chain metrics such as Bitcoin mining revenues have returned to pre-halving levels according to recent research.

Data from analytics provider, Glassnode, suggests that revenue from Bitcoin mining is now back at the same levels it was as when block rewards were double what they are now.

When the halving took place in mid-May, BTC prices were around $9,000. On November 18 they had doubled to $18,000 which suggests a correlation as miners need to sell enough of the asset to cover their expenses while remaining in profit. Higher prices mean greater profits.

Blockchain.com, which tracks the total value of coinbase block rewards and transaction fees paid to miners confirms the findings.

The daily revenue figure, which includes block rewards and transaction fees, for Nov. 18 was $21.2 million, its highest for a year. The previous peak was on May 6 when it reached $20.6 million. Following the halving event, which dropped block rewards from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC, revenue plummeted to just over $7 million per day.

Mining revenue saw an earlier slump on March 18 this year following the pandemic-induced crypto market crash which wiped 45% off the price of Bitcoin in less than a week. When mining revenue falls steeply, over-leveraged miners can begin capitulating due to unfavorable market conditions.

The opposite appears to be happening at the moment as prices approach their all-time high.

Another factor indicating that the network is healthy and miners are happy is the hash rate, which is now just 10% away from its highest ever level.

Following the end of the rainy season in China, where the majority of Bitcoin mining takes place, rigs were powered down in preparation for relocation as cheap hydroelectric power dried up. This resulted in a seasonal hash rate slump of 37%, to below 98 Exahashes per second.

Since then, hash rate — which many believe is correlated to prices — has recovered to 143.4 EH/s which is not far off its mid-October peak of 157.6 EH/s according to Bitinfocharts.com.

The current mining revenue figures and hash rate recovery bodes well for the continuation of the bull market which may just take Bitcoin prices to a new all-time high before the end of the year.





Source link

Bitcoin

Bad call? Bitfinex bears closed a block of Bitcoin shorts before the drop below $32K

Published

on

By


Bitcoin price is still in a rut, trading near $33,000 and trapped in a downtrend that just seems to get worse with the passing of each day. As the price slumps, analysts have consulted with several technical and on-chain metrics to explain the price collapse, but none of these have picked up on the exact reason. 

One area of interest has been the sharp rise in short positions at Bitfinex in the past week. Traders are placing exaggerated importance on these Bitcoin (BTC) margin shorts as if they are predictors of the current market crash. Still, as Cointelegraph previously reported, analysts forget that Bitcoin margin longs are usually much larger.

On June 18, longs outnumbered Bitfinex shorts by at least 22,800 BTC, but 87% of the short positions were closed before June 22. Currently, margin longs are 43,850 BTC higher than the amount shorted.

While those shorts are usually savvy traders, it is unlikely that they knew in advance that Chinese banks would prevent their clients from engaging in activities involving crypto trading or mining.

More importantly, these bearish positions were built while MicroStrategy was buying $500 million in Bitcoin after a successful senior secured note private offer. To make things worse, Michael Saylor’s business intelligence firm announced the intention to raise another $1 billion by selling stocks to buy Bitcoin.

Let’s take a look at how these courageous shorts fared.

Bitfinex margin shorts (blue) vs. Bitcoin price in USD (orange). Source: TradingView

On June 6, shorts increased from 1,380 to 6,700 at an average price of $36,150. Three days later, another 12,180 shorts were added when Bitcoin was trading at $37,050. Lastly, between June 14 and 15, shorts increased 6,000 to a 25,000 peak while Bitcoin averaged $40,100.

By looking at the Bitcoin prices when those short position increases took place, it is reasonable to assume that the 23,500 contract increase (green circles) had an average price of $37,625.

Related: Traders search for bearish signals after Bitcoin futures enter backwardation

Traders closed positions before BTC crashed bel$32,000

These short positions were steadily closed over the past three days when Bitcoin was already trading below $37,000. However, 17,000 short contracts had already been closed by the time the price plunged below $33,500. Therefore, it is implausible that the average price was below $34,500.

No one would complain about gaining 8%, shorting the market to generate a $73 million profit. However, it is essential to note that on June 16, when Bitcoin reached $40,400, these shorts were underwater by $65 million.

This analysis shows how even highly professional traders can go deep underwater. There’s no way to know if this trade would have been profitable had the crackdown on China not aggravated Bitcoin price or if MicroStrategy managed to raise the $1 billion before the price drop.

If anyone still believes in market manipulation, at least there’s comfort in knowing that pro traders can face drastic losses as well. However, unlike us mortals, whales have deep pockets and patience to withhold even the most rigorous thunderstorms.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.